All Q-Day, Y2Q Posts
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Post-Quantum, PQC, Quantum Security
Post-Quantum Deadlines Are Likely About to Compress. Here’s What I’m Seeing.
Governments spent 2025 publishing PQC roadmaps. In 2026, they started giving those roadmaps teeth. A draft US executive order, the EU's first binding PQC law, and vendor deadlines from Google and AWS are collapsing the compliance horizon from 2035 to 2028–2030.
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Post-Quantum, PQC, Quantum Security
Q-FUD: The Quantum Panic Industry
Cybersecurity has always had a FUD problem. “FUD” (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) is the oldest trick in enterprise security marketing: paint a worst-case scenario, imply you’re already compromised, sprinkle in enough jargon to make the buyer feel outgunned, and then offer the “only” solution - conveniently available this quarter. Q‑FUD is that same playbook, just dressed in quantum vocabulary. Why is Q‑FUD uniquely toxic? Because…
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Post-Quantum, PQC, Quantum Security
Q-Day Isn’t an Outage – It’s a Confidence Crisis
Cybersecurity lore often paints Q-Day (the moment a quantum computer cracks RSA/ECC encryption) as an instant "Quantum Apocalypse" where every system gets hacked immediately. Planes falling from the sky, banks drained in seconds, an overnight digital Armageddon - if that nightmare doesn’t happen, some assume Q-Day wasn’t so bad after all. But this view misses a crucial point. The real catastrophe of Q-Day isn’t that…
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Q-Day
Forget Q-Day Predictions – Regulators, Insurers, Investors, Clients Are Your New Quantum Clock
Whether you personally believe Q-Day will come in 5 years or 50, the world around you isn’t taking chances - and neither can you. As a CISO, you’re now being implicitly (and sometimes explicitly) told by every corner of your ecosystem that quantum preparedness is mandatory. Regulators demand it via hard deadlines. Key clients and partners demand it in contracts and RFPs. Insurers will soon…
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Quantum Computing Companies
What 60+ Quantum Hardware Roadmaps Actually Tell Us
What do 60+ quantum hardware roadmaps tell us when you read them together instead of one at a time? This capstone article synthesizes the quantum computing company landscape into strategic insight: which modalities have the most commercial momentum, where the industry's centre of gravity sits geographically, how roadmap promises compare to demonstrated milestones, and what all of this means for the timeline to fault-tolerant and…
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Q-Day
How You, Too, Can Predict Q-Day (Without the Hype)
For three decades, Q-Day has been “just a few years away.” I want to show you how to make your own informed prediction on when Q-Day will arrive. Counting physical qubits by itself is misleading. To break RSA you need error‑corrected logical qubits, long and reliable operation depth, and enough throughput to finish within an attack‑relevant time window.
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Post-Quantum, PQC, Quantum Security
CRQC Readiness Benchmark vs. Quantum Threat Tracker (QTT)
I will try and compare my proposed CRQC Readiness Benchmark with QTT, highlighting fundamental differences in methodology, assumptions, and philosophy, all in an effort to clarify how each approach informs our understanding of the looming “Q-Day.” The goal is to articulate why my benchmark and QTT produce different outlooks (2030s vs. 2050s for RSA-2048), and how both can be used together to guide post-quantum readiness.
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Q-Day
The Trouble with Quantum Computing and Q-Day Predictions
The trouble with quantum computing predictions so far has been that too many have been more speculation than science, more influenced by bias than by balanced analysis. We have the tools and knowledge to do better. By embracing a data-driven, scenario-based approach, we can turn timeline forecasting from a source of confusion into a valuable planning aid.
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