Marin’s Q-Day Prediction Countdown:

Here is my personal Q-Day prediction. For an understanding of the factors I am considering and recent events that are influencing this prediction, please see Marin’s Q-Day Prediction page.

Most Popular Articles This Week

    January 1, 2024

    Marin’s Statement on AI Risks

    The rapid development of AI brings both extraordinary potential and unprecedented risks. AI systems are increasingly demonstrating emergent behaviors, and…
    November 1, 2023

    Taxonomy of Quantum Computing: Paradigms & Architectures

    Over the past few decades, researchers have devised multiple quantum computing paradigms – different models and physical implementations of quantum…
    August 23, 2024

    Full Stack of AI Concerns: Responsible, Safe, Secure AI

    As AI continues to evolve and integrate deeper into societal frameworks, the strategies for its governance, alignment, and security must…
    November 1, 2021

    Ready for Quantum: Practical Steps for Cybersecurity Teams

    The journey towards quantum resistance is not merely about staying ahead of a theoretical threat but about evolving our cybersecurity…
    July 27, 2023

    Q-Day Predictions: Anticipating the Arrival of CRQC

    While CRQCs capable of breaking current public key encryption algorithms have not yet materialized, technological advancements are pushing us towards…
    March 8, 2023

    Quantum Networks 101: An Intro for Cyber Professionals

    Quantum networks are on the cusp of transitioning from theory to practice, following a trajectory not unlike the early development…

    D-Wave Claims Quantum Supremacy with Quantum Annealing

    D-Wave Quantum Inc. has announced a breakthrough, claiming to achieve quantum computational advantage – even “quantum supremacy” – using its quantum annealing technology on a practical problem. In a peer-reviewed study published in Science on March 12, 2025, D-Wave’s researchers report that their 5,000+ qubit Advantage2 prototype quantum annealer outperformed ... Read More

    NIST Picks HQC as New Post-Quantum Encryption Candidate

    Fault-tolerant quantum architectures based on erasure qubits represent an exciting development in quantum engineering. They blend clever hardware design with advanced error-correcting codes to tackle the Achilles’ heel of quantum computers: noise. The research by Gu, Retzker, and Kubica shows that by making qubits a bit smarter about their own ... Read More

    Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computing (FTQC) with Erasure Qubits

    Fault-tolerant quantum architectures based on erasure qubits represent an exciting development in quantum engineering. They blend clever hardware design with advanced error-correcting codes to tackle the Achilles’ heel of quantum computers: noise. The research by Gu, Retzker, and Kubica shows that by making qubits a bit smarter about their own ... Read More

    Zuchongzhi 3.0 Quantum Chip: Technical Analysis and Implications

    China’s quantum computing powerhouse, the Zuchongzhi research teams, just unveiled Zuchongzhi 3.0, a new superconducting quantum processor with 105 qubits, marking a major leap in quantum computing performance. Announced in March 2025 by a University of Science and Technology of China (USTC) team led by Pan Jianwei, Zhu Xiaobo, and ... Read More

    AWS Announces Ocelot Chip for Ultra-Reliable Qubits

    Amazon Web Services (AWS) has officially unveiled Ocelot, its first in-house quantum computing chip, marking a significant milestone in the company’s quantum ambitions. Announced on February 27, 2025, Ocelot is a prototype processor designed from the ground up to tackle quantum error correction in a more resource-efficient way. AWS claims ... Read More

    Microsoft’s Majorana-Based Quantum Chip – Beyond the Hype

    In February 2025, Microsoft unveiled “Majorana 1,” an eight-qubit quantum chip built on a topological qubit architecture – a first-of-its-kind design leveraging exotic Majorana quasiparticles. This chip uses a new material called a “topoconductor” (a specially engineered topological superconductor) made from indium arsenide and aluminum, which can host and control ... Read More

    Russia Unveils First 50-Qubit Quantum Computer Prototype

    Fault-tolerant quantum architectures based on erasure qubits represent an exciting development in quantum engineering. They blend clever hardware design with advanced error-correcting codes to tackle the Achilles’ heel of quantum computers: noise. The research by Gu, Retzker, and Kubica shows that by making qubits a bit smarter about their own ... Read More

    Google Announces Willow Quantum Chip

    Google has unveiled a new quantum processor named “Willow”, marking a major milestone in the race toward practical quantum computing. The 105-qubit Willow chip demonstrates two breakthroughs that have long eluded researchers: it dramatically reduces error rates as qubit count scales up, and it completed a computational task in minutes ... Read More

    Why I Founded Applied Quantum – The First Pure-Play, End-to-End Quantum Consultancy

    Applied Quantum is a firm that for the first time would be 100% dedicated to quantum technology services – not as a sideline, not as one emerging tech practice among many, but as the entire mission of the company, and it would cover the field end-to-end. We founded Applied Quantum ... Read More

    How Quantum Could Break Through Amdahl’s Law and Computing’s Limits

    Amdahl’s Law teaches us a humbling lesson about the limits of classical computing: there is always a portion that resists parallel speedup, chaining us to diminishing returns. We’ve coped by clever engineering – making that chain as short as possible – but not broken it. Quantum computing offers a bolt ... Read More

    Quantum Technologies and Quantum Computing in South Korea

    South Korea’s quantum technology ecosystem has rapidly matured from obscurity into a well-organized force. Backed by a clear national strategy and increasing investments, Korea is making its mark through cutting-edge research at top universities, substantial government support for quantum computing and communications, and active participation from industry giants and startups ... Read More

    Quantum Technologies and Quantum Computing in the Middle East

    Leaders in the Middle East are talking about quantum algorithms and national quantum computing hubs. And even about Quantum AI. The Middle East is determined not to miss out on the quantum revolution, and that determination is reshaping the tech narrative of this region. What’s behind this quantum push in ... Read More

    The Race Toward FTQC: Ocelot, Majorana, Willow, Heron, Zuchongzhi

    Quantum computing is entering a new phase marked by five major announcements from five quantum powerhouses—Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft, Google, IBM, and Zuchongzhi—all in the last 4 months. Are these just hype-fueled announcements, or do they mark real progress toward useful, large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computing—and perhaps signal an accelerated timeline ... Read More

    Quantum Geopolitics: The Global Race for Quantum Computing

    Quantum computing has emerged as a new frontier of great-power competition in the 21st century​. Nations around the world view advanced quantum technologies as strategic assets—keys to future economic prowess, military strength, and technological sovereignty. Governments have already poured over $40 billion into quantum research and development globally​, launching national ... Read More

    AI and Quantum Sensing: A Perfect Synergy

    AI and quantum sensing complement each other perfectly. Quantum sensors provide the rich, nuanced data about physical reality at its smallest scales; AI provides the means to interpret and act on that data in real time. This synergy is already evident in cutting-edge projects – from AI algorithms cleaning up ... Read More

    Marin Ivezic

    Marin Ivezic I am the Founder of Applied Quantum, a research-driven professional services firm dedicated to helping organizations unlock the transformative power of quantum technologies. Alongside leading its specialized service, Secure Quantum—focused on quantum resilience and post-quantum cryptography—I also invest in cutting-edge quantum ventures through Quantum.Partners. Currently, I’m completing a PhD in Quantum Computing and authoring an upcoming book “Practical Quantum Resistance,”while regularly sharing news and insights on quantum computing and quantum security at PostQuantum.com. More about me.

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