Marin’s Q-Day Prediction Countdown:

Here is my personal Q-Day prediction. For an understanding of the factors I am considering and recent events that are influencing this prediction, please see Marin’s Q-Day Prediction page.

Most Popular Articles This Week

    August 23, 2024

    Full Stack of AI Concerns: Responsible, Safe, Secure AI

    As AI continues to evolve and integrate deeper into societal frameworks, the strategies for its governance, alignment, and security must…
    April 18, 2025

    What Quantum Computers Can Do Better Than Classical Computers

    Quantum computers already outperform classical computers on a few specialized tasks, and over the coming years that list of tasks…
    January 1, 2024

    Marin’s Statement on AI Risks

    The rapid development of AI brings both extraordinary potential and unprecedented risks. AI systems are increasingly demonstrating emergent behaviors, and…
    November 1, 2021

    Ready for Quantum: Practical Steps for Cybersecurity Teams

    The journey towards quantum resistance is not merely about staying ahead of a theoretical threat but about evolving our cybersecurity…
    November 1, 2023

    Taxonomy of Quantum Computing: Modalities & Architectures

    Over the past few decades, researchers have devised multiple quantum computing paradigms – different models and physical implementations of quantum…
    June 19, 2025

    Q-Day Revisited – RSA-2048 Broken by 2030: Detailed Analysis

    It’s time to mark a controversial date on the calendar: 2030 is the year RSA-2048 will be broken by a…

    Quantum Threat Tracker (QTT) Review Praising the Tool Questioning the Demo

    The Quantum Threat Tracker (QTT) is a newly released open-source tool by Cambridge Consultants and the University of Edinburgh that aims to forecast when quantum computers will break today’s encryption. It combines quantum resource estimation (using optimized variants of Shor’s algorithm) with hardware development roadmaps to predict when cryptographic protocols ... Read More

    Quantum Cybersecurity Migration Act: U.S. Senate Ramps Up Push for Post-Quantum Readiness

    On July 31, 2025, U.S. Senators Gary Peters (D-Mich.) and Marsha Blackburn (R-Tenn.) introduced the National Quantum Cybersecurity Migration Strategy Act, a bipartisan bill to ensure the federal government prepares for encryption-breaking quantum computers. The legislation directs a White House office (leveraging the NSTC’s ESIX subcommittee) to develop a comprehensive ... Read More

    Microsoft’s Majorana‑1 Chip Demonstrates X and Z Loop Parity Measurements

    Microsoft’s Azure Quantum team has released a new scientific paper (Distinct Lifetimes for X and Z Loop Measurements in a Majorana Tetron Device) presenting the first experimental evidence of complementary Pauli-X and Pauli-Z parity measurements on a topological qubit. The results, announced by Microsoft Quantum Technical Fellow Chetan Nayak in ... Read More

    Quantum-Readiness Roadmap: BIS Calls Finance to Prepare for the Post-Quantum Era

    On July 7, 2025 the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) – often called the “central bank of central banks” – published a major paper titled “Quantum-readiness for the financial system: a roadmap.” This BIS Paper No. 158, authored by experts from BIS’s Innovation Hub and several central banks, provides a ... Read More

    Quantum Europe Strategy: Europe’s Five-Pillar Plan to Lead the Quantum Revolution

    On July 2, 2025, the European Commission unveiled the Quantum Europe Strategy – a comprehensive roadmap to transform Europe into a “quantum industrial powerhouse” and global leader in quantum technologies by 2030. This strategy arrives at a pivotal moment: quantum computing, communication, and sensing are advancing from lab experiments to ... Read More

    Preparing for the Quantum Age – U.S. Congressional Hearing Recap and Analysis

    On June 24, 2025, a House Oversight Subcommittee held a hearing titled “Preparing for the Quantum Age: When Cryptography Breaks.” This hearing convened government, industry, and academic experts to discuss the looming threat quantum computing poses to our current cryptographic systems and what the United States should do to prepare ... Read More

    Government of Canada Launches Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) Migration Roadmap

    On June 23, 2025 The Canadian Centre for Cyber Security (Cyber Centre) has issued a new roadmap for migrating the Government of Canada’s IT systems to post-quantum cryptography (PQC). Effective June 23, 2025, this guidance, "Roadmap for the migration to post-quantum cryptography for the Government of Canada (ITSM.40.001)" lays out clear ... Read More
    GAO Quantum Computing

    The U.S. GAO Publishes a Quantum Threat Report – Right on Strategy but Wrong on Timing

    The U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) has issued a June 2025 report titled “Quantum Computing: Leadership Needed to Coordinate Cyber Threat Mitigation Strategy” (GAO-25-108590). GAO makes many spot-on recommendations – calling for strong federal leadership, workforce development, investment in post-quantum readiness, and securing the quantum tech supply chain – and ... Read More
    Loading...

    Quantum Tech and Espionage: What Every Researcher Must Know

    To the untrained eye, espionage against scientists can be nearly invisible - it blends into everyday academic or business activity. But certain red flags and tactics surface again and again. Below is a consolidated list of common espionage methods (many from my own firsthand cases) used to target quantum tech ... Read More

    Risk-Driven Strategies for Quantum Readiness When Full Crypto Inventory Isn’t Feasible

    Given the practical challenges, organizations may need to begin their quantum-readiness journey with a risk-driven approach rather than a theoretically perfect one. The essence of this strategy is to focus limited resources where they matter most – addressing the highest quantum-vulnerability risks first and implementing interim safeguards for the rest ... Read More

    What is the Quantum Threat? A Guide for C‑Suite Executives and Boards

    Boards do not need to dive into the scientific intricacies of qubits and algorithms, but they do need to recognize that this is a strategically important risk – one that can’t be simply delegated away. It requires the same level of governance attention as other enterprise-level risks like financial compliance, ... Read More

    How CISOs Can Use Quantum Readiness to Secure Bigger Budgets (and Fix Today’s Problems)

    Quantum readiness is not an exercise in science fiction – it’s a very practical program that yields benefits immediately. Regulators are pushing us all in this direction, which means boards are willing to fund it. The journey forces you to finally catalog your cryptographic assets and clean up long-standing weaknesses, ... Read More

    Quantum Readiness / PQC Migration Is The Largest, Most Complex IT/OT Overhaul Ever – So Why Wait?

    Preparing for the quantum era is arguably the largest and most complicated digital infrastructure overhaul in history. Yes, far bigger than Y2K, because back in 1999 we didn’t have millions of network-connected “things” to worry about. Yet despite clear warnings and rapidly approaching milestones, far too many organizations still treat ... Read More

    Q-Day Revisited – RSA-2048 Broken by 2030: Detailed Analysis

    It’s time to mark a controversial date on the calendar: 2030 is the year RSA-2048 will be broken by a quantum computer. That’s my bold prediction, and I don’t make it lightly. In cybersecurity circles, the countdown to “Q-Day” or Y2Q (the day a cryptographically relevant quantum computer cracks our ... Read More

    Cryptographic Inventory Vendors and Methodologies

    Achieving a comprehensive cryptographic inventory often requires combining multiple tools and methodologies. Each solution above has blind spots: one might excel at catching code-level issues but miss network usage, another might see network traffic but miss dormant code, etc. Organizations starting a crypto inventory (especially as part of PQC readiness) ... Read More

    Marin Ivezic

    Marin Ivezic I am the Founder of Applied Quantum, a research-driven consulting firm empowering organizations to seize quantum opportunities and proactively defend against quantum threats. A former quantum entrepreneur, I’ve previously served as a Fortune Global 500 CISO, CTO, Big 4 partner, and leader at Accenture and IBM. Throughout my career, I’ve specialized in managing emerging tech risks, building and leading innovation labs focused on quantum security, AI security, and cyber-kinetic risks for global corporations, governments, and defense agencies. I regularly share insights on quantum technologies and emerging-tech cybersecurity at PostQuantum.com. More about me.

    Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) and Post-Quantum Security Articles

    Quantum Computing Articles

    Quantum Computing Modalities / Architectures / Paradigms

    Quantum Networks Articles

    Quantum AI Articles