Marin’s Q-Day Prediction Countdown:
Here is my personal Q-Day prediction. For my approach, my CRQC Readiness Benchmark
tool, and the timeline of key Q-Day related news, see Marin’s Q-Day Prediction page.
My Articles, Opinions and Analyses
Why Companies May Need a Chief Quantum Officer (CQO)
In my opinion, forward-thinking organizations should consider creating a Chief Quantum Officer (CQO) role. Much like those historical electricity executives, a CQO would spearhead the adoption of a disruptive technology that is revolutionary, promising - but widely misunderstood. It’s a ...
Magic States: A Key to Universal Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computing
Magic states are special quantum states that enable the universal operations needed for any quantum algorithm, yet which are not themselves easy to produce or protect. In essence, magic states supply the "extra quantum sauce" that elevates a protected quantum ...
Marin’s Law on Crypto-Agility: Adaptability Determines Survivability
Thesis: Migration time to safer cryptography is inversely proportional to an organization’s crypto-agility. Formally: Let A denote an organization’s crypto-agility (0 ≤ A ≤ 1) and Y the wall-clock time required to replace a cryptographic primitive across all in-scope systems ...
How You, Too, Can Predict Q-Day (Without the Hype)
For three decades, Q-Day has been “just a few years away.” I want to show you how to make your own informed prediction on when Q-Day will arrive. Counting physical qubits by itself is misleading. To break RSA you need ...
CRQC Readiness Benchmark vs. Quantum Threat Tracker (QTT)
I will try and compare my proposed CRQC Readiness Benchmark with QTT, highlighting fundamental differences in methodology, assumptions, and philosophy, all in an effort to clarify how each approach informs our understanding of the looming “Q-Day.” The goal is to ...
The Trouble with Quantum Computing and Q-Day Predictions
The trouble with quantum computing predictions so far has been that too many have been more speculation than science, more influenced by bias than by balanced analysis. We have the tools and knowledge to do better. By embracing a data-driven, ...
Quantum Threat Tracker (QTT) Review Praising the Tool Questioning the Demo
The Quantum Threat Tracker (QTT) is a newly released open-source tool by Cambridge Consultants and the University of Edinburgh that aims to forecast when quantum computers will break today’s encryption. It combines quantum resource estimation (using optimized variants of Shor’s ...
Quantum Tech and Espionage: What Every Researcher Must Know
To the untrained eye, espionage against scientists can be nearly invisible - it blends into everyday academic or business activity. But certain red flags and tactics surface again and again. Below is a consolidated list of common espionage methods (many ...
Risk-Driven Strategies for Quantum Readiness When Full Crypto Inventory Isn’t Feasible
Given the practical challenges, organizations may need to begin their quantum-readiness journey with a risk-driven approach rather than a theoretically perfect one. The essence of this strategy is to focus limited resources where they matter most – addressing the highest ...
Quantum Art
Quantum Art is an Israeli quantum computing startup (spun out of the Weizmann Institute of Science in 2022) focused on developing scalable trapped-ion hardware for quantum computers. The company was born out of decades of ion-trap research at Weizmann and ...
What is the Quantum Threat? A Guide for C‑Suite Executives and Boards
Boards do not need to dive into the scientific intricacies of qubits and algorithms, but they do need to recognize that this is a strategically important risk – one that can’t be simply delegated away. It requires the same level ...
Quantum Brilliance
Quantum Brilliance (QB) is an Australian-German quantum computing company (founded in 2019 as a spin-out of Australian National University) developing diamond-based quantum accelerators that operate at room temperature. Their hardware uses nitrogen-vacancy (NV) centers in synthetic diamond as qubits - ...
How CISOs Can Use Quantum Readiness to Secure Bigger Budgets (and Fix Today’s Problems)
Quantum readiness is not an exercise in science fiction – it’s a very practical program that yields benefits immediately. Regulators are pushing us all in this direction, which means boards are willing to fund it. The journey forces you to ...
CRQC Readiness Benchmark – Benchmarking Quantum Computers on the Path to Breaking RSA-2048
Benchmarking quantum capabilities for cryptography is both critical and challenging. We can’t rely on any single metric like qubit count to tell us how near we are to breaking RSA-2048. A combination of logical qubit count, error-corrected circuit depth, and ...
Quantum Readiness / PQC Migration Is The Largest, Most Complex IT/OT Overhaul Ever – So Why Wait?
Preparing for the quantum era is arguably the largest and most complicated digital infrastructure overhaul in history. Yes, far bigger than Y2K, because back in 1999 we didn’t have millions of network-connected “things” to worry about. Yet despite clear warnings ...
Why AI Cannot Break Modern Encryption
AI cannot break modern encryption. The reasons are fundamental: Mathematical Hardness, Cryptographic Design, Empirical Track Record, Quantum Contrast, Expert Consensus ...
PostQuantum.com AI Explainer
An AI tool that answers questions using a curated corpus of information from PostQuantum.com, NIST, NSA, and ENISA and other reliable sources. Ask anything related to quantum computing or quantum security.