Marin’s Q-Day Prediction Countdown:

Here is my personal Q-Day prediction. For an understanding of the factors I am considering and recent events that are influencing this prediction, please see Marin’s Q-Day Prediction page.

Most Popular Articles This Week

    April 18, 2025

    What Quantum Computers Can Do Better Than Classical Computers

    Quantum computers already outperform classical computers on a few specialized tasks, and over the coming years that list of tasks…
    August 23, 2024

    Full Stack of AI Concerns: Responsible, Safe, Secure AI

    As AI continues to evolve and integrate deeper into societal frameworks, the strategies for its governance, alignment, and security must…
    January 1, 2024

    Marin’s Statement on AI Risks

    The rapid development of AI brings both extraordinary potential and unprecedented risks. AI systems are increasingly demonstrating emergent behaviors, and…
    June 19, 2025

    Q-Day Revisited – RSA-2048 Broken by 2030: Detailed Analysis

    It’s time to mark a controversial date on the calendar: 2030 is the year RSA-2048 will be broken by a…
    November 1, 2023

    Taxonomy of Quantum Computing: Modalities & Architectures

    Over the past few decades, researchers have devised multiple quantum computing paradigms – different models and physical implementations of quantum…
    November 1, 2021

    Ready for Quantum: Practical Steps for Cybersecurity Teams

    The journey towards quantum resistance is not merely about staying ahead of a theoretical threat but about evolving our cybersecurity…

    Google Claims Breakthrough in Quantum Error Correction

    Google has announced a significant advancement in correcting errors inherent in today’s quantum computers, a crucial step toward overcoming the most challenging technical barrier in developing this revolutionary technology. The findings were published in the journal Nature. Quantum computers face difficulties in producing useful results because qubits, the fundamental units ... Read More

    Scientists Achieve Entanglement Between Two Light Sources

    Researchers from the University of Copenhagen and Ruhr University Bochum have made a significant breakthrough in quantum technology by achieving controlled interaction between two quantum light sources, or quantum emitters, embedded in a nanophotonic waveguide. This development, reported in Science, is a foundational step toward building scalable quantum computers and ... Read More

    Quantum Computing Cybersecurity Preparedness Act

    On December 21, 2022, President Joe Biden officially signed H.R.7535, known as the Quantum Computing Cybersecurity Preparedness Act, into law. This legislation urges federal agencies to upgrade their technologies to defend against potential quantum computing threats. The act is a crucial step in the United States' strategy to enhance its ... Read More

    2022 Quantum Threat Timeline Report Published

    The "2022 Quantum Threat Timeline Report" by the Global Risk Institute, authored by Dr. Michele Mosca and Dr. Marco Piani from evolutionQ Inc. was just published. This report provides analysis of the quantum threat landscape and tries to predict the arrival of the Q-Day by polling a number of global ... Read More

    IBM Osprey: A 433-Qubit Quantum Leap

    IBM has announced Osprey, a superconducting quantum processor with a record-breaking 433 qubits – by far the largest of its kind as of its 2022 debut. Revealed at the IBM Quantum Summit in November 2022, Osprey more than triples the qubit count of IBM’s previous 127-qubit Eagle chip​. IBM says ... Read More

    ENISA Publishes “Post-Quantum Cryptography – Integration study”

    The European Union Agency for Cybersecurity (ENISA) has released a report titled "Post-Quantum Cryptography - Integration Study," offering a comprehensive look at the challenges and necessities of integrating post-quantum cryptographic systems. This publication follows ENISA's 2021 study on the current state of post-quantum cryptography and aims to provide a clearer ... Read More

    White House – Quantum Related National Security Memorandum

    On May 4, 2022, the White House issued a significant policy directive through the "National Security Memorandum on Promoting United States Leadership in Quantum Computing While Mitigating Risks to Vulnerable Cryptographic Systems" or NSM-10. The memorandum highlights the urgency of developing quantum-resistant cryptographic systems to protect against potential threats posed ... Read More

    Record-Breaking Quantum Transmission Via Micius

    A team of Chinese physicists has achieved a landmark advance in quantum communication, successfully teleporting quantum states between two ground stations 1,200 kilometers apart via Micius satellite​. The experiment, led by Pan Jianwei of the University of Science and Technology of China, marks the longest-distance quantum teleportation ever demonstrated, shattering previous ... Read More

    Full Stack of AI Concerns: Responsible, Safe, Secure AI

    As AI continues to evolve and integrate deeper into societal frameworks, the strategies for its governance, alignment, and security must also advance, ensuring that AI enhances human capabilities without undermining human values. This requires a vigilant, adaptive approach that is responsive to new challenges and opportunities, aiming for an AI ... Read More

    Quantum Computing & Quantum Technology Initiatives in the USA

    The United States has entered a new phase of quantum technology development – one marked by large-scale engineering challenges and system integration, rather than just laboratory science. The next decade will be critical. If current trends hold, we will witness U.S. quantum computers tackling problems that were impossible before, quantum ... Read More

    Myths and Realities of Quantum Commercialization

    Quantum commercialization is hard; there’s no sugar-coating that. But as we’ve seen, “hard” is not “impossible,” and early difficulty does not mean it’s “too early.” The myths we unpacked – that quantum is always 20 years away, that only giants can play, that no market exists, that we can passively ... Read More

    Quantum Computing & Quantum Technology Initiatives in Canada

    Canada has established itself as a major hub of quantum technology research, and its recent initiatives aim to translate that strength into societal and economic benefits. The country’s National Quantum Strategy, with its coordinated missions in computing, communications, and sensing, provides a roadmap for the next stage of quantum innovation ... Read More

    Bridging the Quantum Lab-to-Market Gap: How External Experts Boost Tech Transfer

    The race to commercialize quantum technology is on, and it’s not a sprint by a lone runner; it’s a relay. TTOs carry the baton of discovery from the lab, but to reach the finish line of market impact, they must hand off (and continuously team up) with external partners who ... Read More

    Quantum Computing Use Cases in Materials & Chemicals

    Quantum computing and associated quantum technologies are on the cusp of ushering in a new era for materials science and chemical engineering. After decades of development, the vision is becoming reality. Quantum computers – though still nascent – have already shown they can emulate the quantum behavior of molecules and ... Read More

    From Lab Breakthroughs to Quantum Boom: Why the Time to Commercialize is Now

    The current stage of development in quantum isn’t about figuring out if the technology works – it’s about making it work reliably, at scale, and for a purpose. That requires an all-hands-on-deck approach. Universities and research institutes must continue to push the frontiers of knowledge. Tech transfer offices should be ... Read More

    Marin Ivezic

    Marin Ivezic I am the Founder of Applied Quantum, a research-driven professional services firm dedicated to helping organizations unlock the transformative power of quantum technologies. Alongside leading its specialized service, Secure Quantum—focused on quantum resilience and post-quantum cryptography—I also invest in cutting-edge quantum ventures through Quantum.Partners. Currently, I’m completing a PhD in Quantum Computing and authoring an upcoming book “Practical Quantum Resistance,”while regularly sharing news and insights on quantum computing and quantum security at PostQuantum.com. More about me.

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