Predicting 2035: Breaking RSA-2048 With 20M Noisy Qubits
Researchers Craig Gidney and Martin Ekerå, in a new paper, demonstrate how to factor RSA-2048 in 8 hours using 20 million noisy qubits. This is a significant improvement, as only six years ago, the state-of-the-art thinking required 1 billion noisy qubits. To estimate the arrival of the quantum threat, we need to track both the developments in quantum computing infrastructure and these kinds of algorithmic improvements. This latest paper provides an interesting data point that we can use to extrapolate potential future developments.
Quantum Upside & Quantum Risk - Handled
Applied Quantum helps governments, enterprises, and investors prepare for both the upside and the risk of quantum technologies. We deliver concise board and investor briefings; demystify quantum computing, sensing, and communications; craft national and corporate strategies to capture advantage; and turn plans into delivery. We help you mitigate the cquantum risk by executing crypto‑inventory, crypto‑agility implementation, PQC migration, and broader defenses against the quantum threat. We run vendor due diligence, proof‑of‑value pilots, standards and policy alignment, workforce training, and procurement support, then oversee implementation across your organization. Contact me if you want help.